The Cell Gambling

100% payouts? I think so.

There are three ways to gamble on the Cell:

Option 1 allows you to bet straight on the winner of the tournament. The payout for this will be 300% if you place your bet on the first day and will lose 10% each day following the tournament.

Option 2 allows you to pick the top five placers in the tournament. This must be done before the first week of round one is completed. If you choose a placing player, you get 2 points. If you choose them at the right position you'll receive 10, 8, 6, 4, and 2 points respectfully (obviously in order from 1st to 5th). This is pool play. The winner is the hands out winner and receives the entire pool.

Option 3 is the best. It is an over/under/spread bet based on a player's predicted score range. Before the tournament begins I will predict a player's score range and give a spread. You put in an amount and if you guess right you make 100% profit. How's that for making some extra GP.

When you bet, please list your option and your over/under/spread if applicable. This will begin shortly after registration.

Here's the score spread for our competitors:

Cell 1:

016573 55-60
Alis Grave Nil 45-55
Amen 35-55
Ataraxis 65-70
Duffy Bracken 60-63
Godhand 55-58
Hysteria 50-53
Neville Longinus 50-53
Squidi 50-53
Silence Sei 60-65
Taskmienster 50-53
The Daredevil 45-60

Cell 2:

Ailnea 45-60
Arsène 58-62
Atzar Kellon 58-62
Bloodrose 68-70
Christoph 65-68
Dissinger 55-58
Esmerelda 43-48
Kade Underbough 43-48
Letho 68-71
Mutant Lorenor 55-65
Riftslayer 55-58
Ulysses 65-70

Don't take any of this personally. Newer folks get larger ranges because there's not much to average you on.

Dissinger scoring over projected...

1000 GP.

I'd like to bet 150 gold on Dissinger as outright winner.

Are we allowed to bet with all three forms Max?

(And 60-63? You shouldn't have!)

A question: what happens if you bet on someone who gets disqualified, let's say for not making the 24h deadline or not posting at all? Do they get a score of zero for the sake of the bet or do you just lose the money?

500 Under on Duffy
500 Over on Dissinger

I bet 100 that I score over 53. ;)

300 Gold Over Spread for Dissinger.

100 Gold Over Myself.

100 On Ataraxis taking the tournament.

Option 1:
500 GP on Christoph

Option 3:
500 Over on Dissinger
300 Spread on Ulysses
300 Spread on Amen
400 Under on Myself (if I'm gonna lose, at least I'll make some money out of it)

Option 2 Placing:
1. Dissinger
2. Ataraxis
3. Christoph
4. Letho
5. Silence Sei

1000 gold

EDIT: So it is Letho, so it is...thanks for the headsup.

Pat, I believe that's option 2.

Option 2 - 1000 GP
1. Ataraxis
2. Christoph
3. Letho
4. Bloodrose
5. Dissinger

Letho, you lose your money if someone is disqualified.

Option 3

1000 on 016573 (over)
1000 on Dissinger (over)
1000 on Kade (over)

Option One:
100 gold on Ataraxis as the overall winner.

Option Two:
1. Letho
2. Ataraxis
3. Bloodrose
4. Christoph
5. Dissinger

100 gold. I think these are all pretty safe and unexciting bets, haha. These are all people I'm pretty sure can pull through and do well. Wouldn't shock me if someone else did really well though. And yes, I picked Ataraxis for Option One and Letho for Option Two, that's mostly because I couldn't decide between them. So let's play it safe!

Option Three:
50 gold that my score is overestimated. As in, I think I'll get below a 65. Yay for not having self confidence!
50 gold spread on Duffy. I think if he's at the top of the game he can make that easily, he certainly did well enough in my battle with him.
50 gold spread on Dissenger. Not impressed by his first post, sorry...
50 gold that Amen's score is underprojected. I judged his solo, and am in a thread with him, and he's good, I don't think in a million years that he'll get in the 30s or 40s.

The wording of option three confused me a little, sorry if I did that wrong.

If the man is betting himself that he will not make the spread...

250 gold under on Ulysses

woman* :P

But that's probably a smart bet. Although everyone else seems to have more confidence in me. No idea why.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Max Dirks

Letho, you lose your money if someone is disqualified.

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Damn. There should be an option to pick who'll be disqualified. I have about two or three names I'd definitely bet on. Yes, Cory, you're one of them.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Ulysses

50 gold spread on Dissenger. Not impressed by his first post, sorry...

---

WHY YOU LITTLE-

None taken. I know my writing isn't for everyone, I tend to do a lot of things that some judges HATE. So you're probably in safe bets there.

Option 3

2400 gold on Kade scoring over.

^

Rofl.

That's cheating :p

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Max Dirks

Option 3 is the best. It is an over/under/spread bet based on a player's predicted score range. Before the tournament begins I will predict a player's score range and give a spread. You put in an amount and if you guess right you make 100% profit. How's that for making some extra GP.

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Rules are rules

Option 3

440 on Kade over

Cell One Bets (Those not present I don't believe will finish).

Quote:

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016573 55-60

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35 gold over.

Quote:

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Alis Grave Nil 45-55

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35 gold match.

Quote:

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Amen 35-55

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35 gold match.

Quote:

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Hysteria 50-53

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35 gold match.

Quote:

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Silence Sei 60-65

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35 gold under.

Cell 2 Bets

Quote:

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Atzar Kellon 58-62

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30 gold match.

Quote:

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Dissinger 55-58

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30 gold over.

Quote:

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Esmerelda 43-48

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10 gold over.

Quote:

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Letho 68-71

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50 gold over.

Quote:

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Mutant Lorenor 55-65

---

10 gold match.

Quote:

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Ulysses 65-70

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100 gold match.

I bet 100 gold on me winning the entire tourney. Thankies.

200 GP on that Letho fellow coming in under the spread.

numbers guy 55-60
20 on he goes over

Amen 35-55
20 gold match.

Hyst 50-53
20 gold over

Sei 60-65
20 gold under.

Cell 2 Bets

Dissinger 55-58
20 gold over.

Letho 68-71
20 gold match

Mutant Lorenor 55-65
20 gold match.

Ulysses 65-70
20 gold match.


And

40 gold on Duffy Bracken winning the shit XD

Here's the winners and losers from round one.

Dissinger: -1000 GP
Duffy Bracken: -390 GP
Visla Eraclaire: +750 GP
Hysteria: -100 GP
Arsene: -300 GP
Letho: - 600 GP
016573: -1000 GP
Ulysses: -50 GP
Amaril Torrun: +2400 GP
Kade Underbough: +440 GP
Squidi: -100 GP
Pembleton: +200 GP
Alis Grave Nil: -140 GP

Not too many winners this time, good luck next round! I'll have Zook take care of the transactions tomorrow.

Here are the spreads for round two:

016573: 55-57
Ataraxis: 61-65
Atzar Kellon: 55-62
Bloodrose: 59-62
Godhand: 54-60
Letho: 61-68
Silence Sei: 52-56
Ulysses: 55-60

Gamble away, folks. If you've lost your money, you can't re-gamble it. I'll be checking periodically until we get the GP added. Note that I score and normalize my grades, so keep that in mind while betting!

250 Godhand Spread
250 Letho Under

And on day 13 of the tournament (170% payoff), I bet 100 on Ataraxis to win. Actually, I'm unclear on that one. Maybe only count tournament days? Started on the 14th, both chambers were done when Godhand made his post on the 22nd. So maybe it's only 8 days in. Whichever.


EDIT: Ulysses bet retracted.

Isn't it odd that I have a smaller range than Atzar, since he's been a member longer? I thought you said that newer members had wider ranges.

And ouch, Visla's betting that I'm going to score under 55? :P

I'm not going to do any gambling, I think this is too close to predict anything.

Godhand: 50 over.
Letho: 50 under
Silence Sei: 50 over

You have to remember with my bets that I am a notorious critic of the judging rubric, I'm betting what you think you will get not what you ought to get. Though on reflection it is a bit of a cruel bet. It actually was only after my first initial bet that I realized you were Ulysses, and now I feel obliged to continue it on.

Godhand - Under (50 GP)
Letho - Under (50 GP)
Silence Sei - Under (50 GP)
Ulysses - Under (50 GP)

And I still have that 100 GP out on Ataraxis to win the whole damn thing.

And Max, I should have lost 400 GP, not 300. I scored under on my thread, in addition to Dissinger being DQ'ed

I'm going to go ahead and retract my bet under on Ulysses before the round starts, that's the edit on my post.